Sports bets can be extremely profitable if you know the techniques typically the “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make dollars. One of the biggest secrets that wise money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a ideal case in point. We analyzed often the Western side Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded that will West Virginia had typically the edge in the match. Nonetheless I actually also came to the realization that there have been a good deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not guess on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released before the game:

West Florida vs . Louisville

This game features all the symptoms of being one regarding the greatest games involving the year, along with the two teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, using West Virginia coming back again from becoming down major in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the action appearance like this year?

In the event that this sport were getting played at the neutral field, West Va might probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented rotate. They haven’t lost due to the fact Jan. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they missing to Las vegas Tech. In the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 ROUTE games.

These are some very outstanding stats that tilt the scales in favor of WVU to get tonight’s games. Plus, often the extra added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like substantially, but in a close up match-up such as this, that extra point might make the big difference between a good push together with a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are generally almost as good like WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their previous 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home game titles.

And if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in the home since Dec 17, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. four points every game at your home, while hitting only stopping 15. seven points for each game in home. In case an individual decided not to do the mathmatical, that means due to the fact their last home reduction they already have averaged beating their competitors by means of about thirty four things per game.

Furthermore amazing, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the get spread around, on average, simply by 13 things per sport at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

Many of those stats ended up accumulated during the june 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They are yet to acquired recent games in which they have already only scored 36, 3, 24 points. That activities weren’t against Ohio St. or Michigan. They will were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

The bottom line is that will this is still a new close activity to contact. Nevertheless what I look to get is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s no reason to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to core 20’s. บาคาร่าเว็บตรงทดลอง บาคาร่าได้เงินจริงแนะนำเว็บบาคาร่าgazianteb will be to lay off this specific game and not necessarily gamble at all. There happen to be better activities this weekend with more clear-cut advantages.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to come back a punt for a new TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s edge wasn’t so big they may still win immediately after producing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this sport, people critical with regards to wagering saved money they can offer better employ on future games.