Sports playing are often very profitable if anyone know the strategies this “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that clever money bettors use is knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a ideal example of this. My spouse and i analyzed often the Western side Virginia vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that West California had typically the edge in the video game. However , I also recognized that there are a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not gamble on this particular game. Here is our analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Va vs . Louisville

This activity offers all the signs of being one involving the most effective games of the year, using equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, each having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, with Western world Virginia coming again from becoming down large in the fourth quarter to winning inside overtime.

So what’s the game appear like this year?

In the event this activity were appearing played with a neutral field, West Va might probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since often the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented rotate. Many people haven’t lost considering that Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to Las vegas Tech. Inside the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kinds of are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor associated with WVU for tonight’s online game. Plus, the particular extra bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This might not look like quite a bit, but in a in close proximity match-up like this, that special point will certainly make the big difference between a good push and even a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are generally almost as good because WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular very last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home activities.

And if UFABET168 leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in the home since January eighteen, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points every game in the home, while hitting only giving up 15. 7 points for every game from home. In case an individual did not do the math, that means given that their particular last home damage they’ve averaged beating their opponents by way of about thirty four factors per game.

Even greater amazing, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten this pass on, on average, by way of 13 things per video game at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s just how…

The majority of those stats have been piled up during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They already have acquired recent games in which they also have only scored twenty-eight, 23, 24 points. That game titles weren’t against Iowa Street. or Michigan. They ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

In essence that will this is still a good close game to phone. Nevertheless what I look to get is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s virtually no purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to middle 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off this specific game and not necessarily gamble at all. There are usually better games this weekend with more simple rewards.

The final score of the game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to come back a punt for a new TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s borders has not been so big they can still win immediately after building so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this particular activity, people significant with regards to wagering saved money they will can put to better work with on upcoming games.